2027 affordability percentage for employer health coverage increases
Affordability standards
Under the ACA, employer-sponsored minimum essential coverage (MEC) is affordable if an employee’s required contribution for the lowest-cost, self-only option with minimum value does not exceed an annually indexed percentage of the employee’s household income. Employees and their family members who are eligible for minimum-value employer-sponsored MEC that meets the affordability standard cannot receive premium tax credits or cost-sharing reductions for public exchange coverage.
To determine liability for play-or-pay assessments, three employer safe harbors allow replacing household income in the affordability calculation with one of these figures:
- Form W-2 wages
- Rate of pay
- Federal poverty line (FPL)
The affordability percentage used in the employer safe harbors is indexed in the same manner as the household income percentage, according to 2015 IRS guidance (Notice 2015-87, Q&A-12).
Indexing formula
As explained in Rev. Proc. 2014-37, the original 9.5% affordability percentage is annually adjusted after 2014. For calendar years 2026 and beyond, the final Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act; Marketplace Integrity and Affordability rule modifies the methodology for calculating the “premium adjustment percentage,” creating a premium growth measure that reflects changes in both individual-market policies and employer-sponsored health coverage. HHS used this methodology temporarily in 2020 and 2021. From 2015 through to 2019, as well as 2022 through 2025, the adjustment captured the rate of premium growth for only employer-sponsored health coverage.
Indexing of the 2027 affordability percentage is based on premium growth rates relative to income growth rates from 2013 to 2026, using the most recent National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) income and premium data projections. Consistent with those projections, the 2027 affordability percentage is greater than the 2026 level.
Employer considerations
FPL safe harbor for calendar-year plans
FPL safe harbor for noncalendar-year plans
Noncalendar-year plans may use the FPL in effect within six months before the first day of the plan year. That means noncalendar-year plans starting in February through July 2027 (if the 2027 FPL is issued in January) or noncalendar-year plans starting in March through August 2027 (if the 2027 FPL is issued in February) may use either the 2026 FPL of $15,960 — resulting in an FPL affordability safe harbor of $135.93 per month — or the 2027 FPL. These noncalendar-year plans would likely benefit from waiting to use the 2027 FPL since it will almost certainly exceed the 2026 FPL and yield a higher FPL safe harbor contribution limit [(10.22% x 2027 FPL) ÷ 12]. On the other hand, depending on when the 2027 plan year starts and the 2027 FPL is issued, waiting for the 2027 FPL may not be possible.
The adjusted percentage applies on a plan-year — not calendar-year — basis. This means noncalendar-year plans starting in 2026 will continue to use 9.96% to determine affordability in 2027 until their new plan year starts. As described above, noncalendar-year plans won't be able to calculate the likely higher FPL safe harbor contribution limit for plan years beginning after January 1, 2027, until HHS issues the 2027 FPL guidelines. As a reminder, for 2026 noncalendar-year plans using the mainland US FPL affordability safe harbor, the required employee contribution cannot exceed $132.47 per month, calculated as (9.96% for 2026 x $15,960 FPL for 2026) ÷ 12, rounded to the nearest penny.
Related resources
Non-Mercer resources
- Rev. Proc. 2026-26 (IRS, July 21, 2026)
- HHS poverty guidelines for 2026 (Federal Register, January 15, 2026)
- Premium adjustment percentage, maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, reduced maximum annual limitation on cost sharing, and required contribution percentage for the 2027 benefit year (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, January 29, 2026)
- Notice 2015-87 (IRS, December 16, 2015)
- Rev. Proc. 2014-37 (IRS, July 24, 2014)
- Employer shared-responsibility provisions (IRS, regularly updated)
Mercer resources
- 2026 federal poverty levels can impact ESR affordability (January 22, 2026)
- 2026 quick benefit facts (January 21, 2026)
- Top 10 health, fringe and leave benefit compliance and policy issues in 2026 (Section 8: Other ongoing ACA concerns) (October 30, 2025)
- 2026 affordability percentage for employer health coverage increases (July 22, 2205)
- Employers face ongoing liability for ACA play-or-pay assessments (March 2, 2020)
- IRS outlines how individual-coverage HRAs can meet ACA employer mandate (October 29, 2019)