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S&P 1500 Pension Funded Status Increased by 1 Percent in May 

June 8, 2023 
United States, New York

The estimated aggregate funding level of pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies increased by 1 percent in May 2023 to 103 percent as a result of an increase in discount rates. As of May 31, 2023, the estimated aggregate surplus of $51 billion USD increased by $22 billion USD as compared to a surplus of $29 billion USD measured at the end of April according to Mercer,1 a global consulting leader and a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC).

The S&P 500 index increased 0.25 percent and the MSCI EAFE index decreased 4.76 percent in May. Typical discount rates for pension plans as measured by the Mercer Yield Curve increased from 4.88 percent to 5.15 percent.

“Pension funded status for the S&P 1500 rose in May driven by discount rate increases,” said Scott Jarboe, a Partner in Mercer’s Wealth Business. “Pension funded status saw a modest increase in May as interest rates rose on another Fed rate hike despite inflation continuing to cool. The domestic equity market has remained in a holding pattern as of late with investors keeping a close eye on the national debt ceiling negotiations. So far, pension funded status levels have held relatively steady this year and risk transfer continues to be a popular strategy many plan sponsors are now executing.”

Mercer estimates the aggregate funded status position of plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies on a monthly basis. Figure 1 (below) shows the estimated aggregate surplus/(deficit) position and the funded status of all plans sponsored by companies in the S&P 1500. The estimates are based on each company’s latest available year-end statement2 and by projections to May 31, 2023 in line with financial indices. The estimates include U.S. domestic qualified and non-qualified plans, along with all non-domestic plans. The estimated aggregate value of pension plan assets of the S&P 1500 companies as of April 30, 2023 was $1.79 trillion USD, compared with estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.76 trillion USD. Allowing for changes in financial markets through May 31, 2023, changes to the S&P 1500 constituents, and newly released financial disclosures, at the end of May the estimated aggregate assets were $1.74 trillion USD, compared with the estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.69 trillion USD. Figure 2 shows the discount rates used in Mercer’s pension funding calculation.

Notes for editors

Information on the Mercer Yield Curve is available at http://www.mercer.com/pensiondiscount.

The Mercer US Pension Buyout Index may be accessed at http://www.mercer.us/our-thinking/mercer-us-pension-buyout-index.html.

Unless otherwise stated, the calculations are based on the Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) funding position and include analysis of the S&P 1500 companies.

Figure 1 : Estimated aggregate funded status of all plans sponsored by companies in the S&P 1500

Source: Mercer, May 2023

Figure 2: High Quality Corporate Bond Yield and S&P 500 data points

Date High Quality Corporate Bond Yield S&P 500 Index

December 31, 2011

4.55%

1,257.60

December 31, 2012

3.71%

1,426.19

December 31, 2013

4.69%

1,848.36

December 31, 2014

3.81%

2,058.90

December 31, 2015

4.24%

2,043.94

December 31, 2016

4.04%

2,238.83

December 31, 2017

3.56%

2,673.61

December 31, 2018

4.19%

2,506.85

December 31, 2019

3.18%

3,230.78

December 31, 2020

2.32%

3,756.07

December 31, 2021

2.76%

4,766.18

December 31, 2022

5.24%

3,839.50

January 31, 2023

4.77%

4,076.60

February 28, 2023

5.21%

3,970.15

March 31, 2023

4.93%

4,109.31

April 30, 2023

4.88%

4,169.48

May 31, 2023

5.15%

4,179.83


About Mercer

Mercer believes in building brighter futures by redefining the world of work, reshaping retirement and investment outcomes, and unlocking real health and well-being. Mercer’s approximately 25,000 employees are based in 43 countries and the firm operates in 130 countries. Mercer is a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC), the world’s leading professional services firm in the areas of risk, strategy and people, with 85,000 colleagues and annual revenue of over $20 billion. Through its market-leading businesses including MarshGuy Carpenter and Oliver Wyman, Marsh McLennan helps clients navigate an increasingly dynamic and complex environment. For more information, visit mercer.com. Follow Mercer on LinkedIn and Twitter.

Figures provided by Mercer Investments LLC.

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