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S&P 1500 Pension Funded Status Increased by 1 Percent in May
June 8, 2023
United States, New York
The estimated aggregate funding level of pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies increased by 1 percent in May 2023 to 103 percent as a result of an increase in discount rates. As of May 31, 2023, the estimated aggregate surplus of $51 billion USD increased by $22 billion USD as compared to a surplus of $29 billion USD measured at the end of April according to Mercer,1 a global consulting leader and a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC).
The S&P 500 index increased 0.25 percent and the MSCI EAFE index decreased 4.76 percent in May. Typical discount rates for pension plans as measured by the Mercer Yield Curve increased from 4.88 percent to 5.15 percent.
“Pension funded status for the S&P 1500 rose in May driven by discount rate increases,” said Scott Jarboe, a Partner in Mercer’s Wealth Business. “Pension funded status saw a modest increase in May as interest rates rose on another Fed rate hike despite inflation continuing to cool. The domestic equity market has remained in a holding pattern as of late with investors keeping a close eye on the national debt ceiling negotiations. So far, pension funded status levels have held relatively steady this year and risk transfer continues to be a popular strategy many plan sponsors are now executing.”
Mercer estimates the aggregate funded status position of plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies on a monthly basis. Figure 1 (below) shows the estimated aggregate surplus/(deficit) position and the funded status of all plans sponsored by companies in the S&P 1500. The estimates are based on each company’s latest available year-end statement2 and by projections to May 31, 2023 in line with financial indices. The estimates include U.S. domestic qualified and non-qualified plans, along with all non-domestic plans. The estimated aggregate value of pension plan assets of the S&P 1500 companies as of April 30, 2023 was $1.79 trillion USD, compared with estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.76 trillion USD. Allowing for changes in financial markets through May 31, 2023, changes to the S&P 1500 constituents, and newly released financial disclosures, at the end of May the estimated aggregate assets were $1.74 trillion USD, compared with the estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.69 trillion USD. Figure 2 shows the discount rates used in Mercer’s pension funding calculation.
Notes for editors
Information on the Mercer Yield Curve is available at http://www.mercer.com/pensiondiscount.
The Mercer US Pension Buyout Index may be accessed at http://www.mercer.us/our-thinking/mercer-us-pension-buyout-index.html.
Unless otherwise stated, the calculations are based on the Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) funding position and include analysis of the S&P 1500 companies.
Source: Mercer, May 2023
Figure 2: High Quality Corporate Bond Yield and S&P 500 data points
| Date | High Quality Corporate Bond Yield | S&P 500 Index |
December 31, 2011 |
4.55% |
1,257.60 |
December 31, 2012 |
3.71% |
1,426.19 |
December 31, 2013 |
4.69% |
1,848.36 |
December 31, 2014 |
3.81% |
2,058.90 |
December 31, 2015 |
4.24% |
2,043.94 |
December 31, 2016 |
4.04% |
2,238.83 |
December 31, 2017 |
3.56% |
2,673.61 |
December 31, 2018 |
4.19% |
2,506.85 |
December 31, 2019 |
3.18% |
3,230.78 |
December 31, 2020 |
2.32% |
3,756.07 |
December 31, 2021 |
2.76% |
4,766.18 |
December 31, 2022 |
5.24% |
3,839.50 |
January 31, 2023 |
4.77% |
4,076.60 |
February 28, 2023 |
5.21% |
3,970.15 |
March 31, 2023 |
4.93% |
4,109.31 |
April 30, 2023 |
4.88% |
4,169.48 |
May 31, 2023 |
5.15% |
4,179.83 |
About Mercer
1 Figures provided by Mercer Investments LLC.
2 Source of financial statement data: Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ. Standard and Poor’s is a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. This may contain information obtained from third parties, including ratings from credit ratings agencies such as Standard & Poor’s. Reproduction and distribution of third party content in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the related third party. Third party content providers do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of any information, including ratings, and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such content. THIRD PARTY CONTENT PROVIDERS GIVE NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. THIRD PARTY CONTENT PROVIDERS shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of THEIR CONTENT, INCLUDING ratings. Credit ratings are statements of opinions and are not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell securities. They do not address the suitability of securities or the suitability of securities for investment purposes, and should not be relied on as investment advice.