S&P 1500 Pension Funded Status Decreased by 1 Percent in August
September 8, 2022
United States, New York
The estimated aggregate funding level of pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies decreased by 1 percent in August 2022 to 101 percent as a result of a decrease in equity markets partially offset by an increase in discount rates. As of August 31, 2022, the estimated aggregate surplus of $23 billion USD decreased by $7 billion USD as compared to a surplus of $30 billion USD measured at the end of July according to Mercer,1 a global consulting leader and a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC).
The S&P 500 index decreased 4.24 percent and the MSCI EAFE index decreased 4.99 percent in August. Typical discount rates for pension plans as measured by the Mercer Yield Curve increased from 4.35 percent to 4.70 percent.
“Pension funded status for the S&P 1500 fell one percent in August as equities stumbled to end the month,” said Matt McDaniel, a Partner in Mercer’s Wealth Business. “Equities pulled back in August and interest rates rose as expectations are the Fed will continue to raise rates despite slightly cooling inflation. As has happened much of the year, we continue to see rises in interest rates offsetting equity losses for many pension plans leading to level or increasing funded status. With recession fears lingering, plan sponsors may want to review their investment policy to evaluate de-risking opportunities as long duration fixed income is more attractive compared to recent history due to rises in yields.”
Mercer estimates the aggregate funded status position of plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies on a monthly basis. Figure 1 (below) shows the estimated aggregate surplus/(deficit) position and the funded status of all plans sponsored by companies in the S&P 1500. The estimates are based on each company’s latest available year-end statement2 and by projections to August 31, 2022 in line with financial indices. The estimates include U.S. domestic qualified and non-qualified plans, along with all non-domestic plans. The estimated aggregate value of pension plan assets of the S&P 1500 companies as of July 31, 2022 was $1.88 trillion USD, compared with estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.85 trillion USD. Allowing for changes in financial markets through August 31, 2022, changes to the S&P 1500 constituents, and newly released financial disclosures, at the end of August the estimated aggregate assets were $1.79 trillion USD, compared with the estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.77 trillion USD. Figure 2 shows the discount rates used in Mercer’s pension funding calculation.
Notes for editors
Information on the Mercer Yield Curve is available at https://www.mercer.com/en_us/insights/retirement/defined-benefit-plans/pension-discount-yield-curve-and-index-rates-in-us.html.
The Mercer US Pension Buyout Index may be accessed at https://www.mercer.com/en-us/insights/investments/market-outlook-and-trends/pension-buy-out-index.html.
Unless otherwise stated, the calculations are based on the Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) funding position and include analysis of the S&P 1500 companies.
Figure 1 : Estimated aggregate funded status of all plans sponsored by companies in the S&P 1500
Source: Mercer, July 2022
Figure 2: High Quality Corporate Bond Yield and S&P 500 data points
Date | High Quality Corporate Bond Yield | S&P 500 Index |
December 31, 2010 |
5.33% |
1,257.64 |
December 31, 2011 |
4.55% |
1,257.60 |
December 31, 2012 |
3.71% |
1,426.19 |
December 31, 2013 |
4.69% |
1,848.36 |
December 31, 2014 |
3.81% |
2,058.90 |
December 31, 2015 |
4.24% |
2,043.94 |
December 31, 2016 |
4.04% |
2,238.83 |
December 31, 2017 |
3.56% |
2,673.61 |
December 31, 2018 |
4.19% |
2,506.85 |
December 31, 2019 |
3.18% |
3,230.78 |
December 31, 2020 |
2.32% |
3,756.07 |
September 30, 2021 |
2.74% |
4,307.54 |
October 31, 2021 |
2.68% |
4,605.38 |
November 31, 2021 |
2.66% |
4,567.00 |
December 31, 2021 |
2.76% |
4,766.18 |
January 31, 2022 |
3.12% |
4,515.55 |
February 28, 2022 |
3.38% |
4,373.94 |
March 31, 2022 |
3.67% |
4,530.41 |
April 30, 2022 |
4.35% |
4,131.93 |
May 31, 2022 |
4.38% |
4,132.15 |
June 30, 2022 |
4.64% |
3,785.38 |
July 31, 2022 |
4.35% |
4,130.29 |
August 31, 2022 |
4.70% |
3,955.00 |
About Mercer
1 Figures provided by Mercer Investments LLC.
2 Source of financial statement data: Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ. Standard and Poor’s is a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. This may contain information obtained from third parties, including ratings from credit ratings agencies such as Standard & Poor’s. Reproduction and distribution of third party content in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the related third party. Third party content providers do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of any information, including ratings, and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such content. THIRD PARTY CONTENT PROVIDERS GIVE NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. THIRD PARTY CONTENT PROVIDERS shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of THEIR CONTENT, INCLUDING ratings. Credit ratings are statements of opinions and are not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell securities. They do not address the suitability of securities or the suitability of securities for investment purposes, and should not be relied on as investment advice.