United States
New York ,
5 November 2009
After a run of seven consecutive months of positive US equity performance, equities returned negative 1.9 percent in October. However, an increase in AA bond yields resulted in the funded status of pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies remaining broadly unchanged in October, according to the latest estimates by Mercer Investment Consulting, Inc. (Mercer).
According to Mercer’s analysis, the funded status of pension plans sponsored by S&P 1500 companies remained flat at 80 percent (deficit of $307 billion) in October. The 2008 year-end deficit was $409 billion, corresponding to a funded status of 75 percent.
“Based on the latest figures, we are anticipating a 2010 pension expense for the S&P 1500 companies of around $40 billion, compared to the 2008 reported pension expense of $21.7 billion,” said Adrian Hartshorn, a member of Mercer’s Financial Strategy Group, which helps companies manage financial risk in their retirement programs.
“Companies will also need to plan for higher cash contributions. Contribution requirements are determined under the Pension Protection Act. Despite the somewhat greater flexibility over the timing of contributions granted by legislative and regulatory relief, fundamentally pension plans are still underfunded and there will be a phasing in of increased contribution requirements to fund the deficits. This also comes at a time when we expect that plans will have little or no credit balances available to help pay these contributions,” said Mr. Hartshorn.
Mercer estimates the aggregate combined funded status position of plans operated by S&P 1500 companies on a monthly basis. Figure 1 shows the estimated aggregate surplus/deficit position and the funded status of all plans operated by companies in the S&P 1500 based on projections of their reported financial statements adjusted from each company’s financial year end to October 31, 2009 in line with financial indices. This includes US domestic qualified and non-qualified plans and all non-domestic plans. The estimated aggregate value of pension plan assets of the S&P 1500 companies at December 31, 2008, was $1.21 trillion, compared with estimated aggregate liabilities of $1.62 trillion. Allowing for changes in financial markets in 2009 year-to-date, the estimated aggregate assets were $1.21 trillion, compared with the estimated value of the aggregate liabilities of $1.52 trillion.
Notes for Editors
Unless otherwise stated, the calculations are based on the Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) funding position and include analysis of the S&P 1500 companies.
Information on the Mercer Yield Curve is available at:
www.mercer.com/pensiondiscount.
About Mercer
Mercer is a leading global provider of consulting, outsourcing and investment services. Mercer works with clients to solve their most complex benefit and human capital issues, designing and helping manage health, retirement and other benefits. It is a leader in benefit outsourcing. Mercer’s investment services include investment consulting and multi-manager investment management. Mercer’s 18,000 employees are based in more than 40 countries. The company is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., which lists its stock (ticker symbol: MMC) on the New York, Chicago and London stock exchanges.
For more information, visit www.mercer.com.
Figure 1.
Source: Mercer, November 1, 2009.
Sample Data Points:
|
Date |
High Quality Corporate Bond Yield1 |
S&P 500 Index2 |
|
December 29, 2006 |
5.83% |
1,418.30 |
|
June 29, 2007 |
6.28% |
1,503.35 |
|
December 31, 2007 |
6.40% |
1,468.36 |
|
June 30, 2008 |
6.97% |
1,280.00 |
|
December 31, 2008 |
6.34% |
903.25 |
|
June 30, 2009 |
6.79% |
919.32 |
|
September 30, 2009 |
5.77% |
1057.08 |
|
October 31, 2009 |
5.82% |
1036.19 |
-
Assumed duration of approximately 10 years. Based on Mercer Yield Curve mature plan index rate.
-
Includes price changes only; total returns also include dividends.
Related resources
| Mercer Yield Curve and Index Rates - October |
Press office contact |
|
Charles Salmans
|