Mercer

Employer reactions: Challenges and opportunities

Last updated: 14 May 2009

 

The current economic downturn, unprecedented in its scale and scope, has raised the stakes for multinational sponsors of retirement plans. Business analysts, among others, are spending more time describing pension issues and their impact on companies’ prospects for the future, particularly in  manufacturing and other sectors with large defined benefit (DB) liabilities.
 
Whether a multinational is focused on short-term survival or on longer-term repositioning for recovery, we expect that all companies will be taking a cold hard look at retirement and other benefit programs going forward. 

The challenges for employers

Typical multinational sponsors may currently be faced with some or all of the following challenges in different countries: 
 

The economic downturn has emphasized that retirement plans – particularly underfunded DB plans – are an extension of the sponsoring company from an economic perspective. Recent accounting changes whereby the plan’s net deficit is reflected on the balance sheet have helped in part to highlight this to shareholders. 
Year-end 2008 balance sheet results for retirement plans have been buoyed to an extent by higher credit spreads in certain countries (reducing pension plan liabilities). The impact of a return to “normalcy” in the credit markets remains uncertain. 
The company has a relentless focus on cost reduction in line with the deteriorating or uncertain business outlook. The benefits manager may need to reconcile this message with the fact that cash flow and expense relating to DB plans are likely to escalate dramatically and that few levers may be available to impose cost discipline in this area.  
Shifting funding requirements and other legislative changes in certain countries challenge benefits managers to ensure that the appropriate information is available to all stakeholders on a timely basis and to make certain that decision makers are fully aware of the procedures that need to be followed in different countries to make changes. 
A benefit program should enable the company to continue to attract, retain and motivate today’s and tomorrow’s workforce, as necessary. The company may seek to ensure that its employees continue to see value in the benefits, for example, by introducing choice to the programs.  
The downturn in the markets may inhibit the company’s ability to manage its workforce, as a generation of employees who participate in defined contribution (DC) plans may not be able to afford to retire. 

 

Against the backdrop of these challenges, let’s look at what companies are doing or planning to do.  

Survey indicators

Our global “Leading through Unprecedented Times” and “Multinational Retirement Plan”  surveys at the end of 2008 give us a picture of the steps companies are considering to manage retirement plans. The first of these surveys was a quick snapshot of views of more than 1,000 HR executives. Exhibit 1 illustrates that the crisis had not, at that time, translated into much direct action.


survey findings: defined benefit
  

The right time to measure actual decisions that have been made will be late in 2009, even if implementation of those decisions is not complete. This article reviews where we were headed toward the end of 2008, and provides examples of specific individual corporate decisions and actions that are currently being taken. As evidenced by Exhibit 1 above, employers surveyed last year were looking to deepen their understanding of the risks related to their DB plans, perhaps as a prelude toward taking specific actions in 2009. We now turn to the more general Multinational Retirement Plan Survey.

Reducing the cost of benefits

The global trend toward DC plans is well-documented. It did not come as a surprise that multinational headquarters are taking a stronger view on the types of retirement benefit plans new hires receive, compared with our previous survey of plans offered in 2004. Across all regions, the percentage of respondents whose companies have a stated global policy of using only DC plans for new hires has almost doubled.
 
However, one-third of multinational respondents still leave plan design decisions to their local entities or have no stated preference as to the types of plans. (See Exhibit 2.)
 
global policy for local plan design

  

Adopting a global DC plan policy seems to be most prevalent in Europe, where more than 80 percent of respondents have a global policy to provide benefits for new hires using DC plans. By contrast, only 42 percent of respondents with headquarters in North America have such a policy.
 
The introduction of DC plans is also closely linked to a reduction in the level of benefits provided by DB plans. More than half of respondents have closed DB plans to new members or to future accruals for existing members in conjunction with introducing or enhancing a DC plan.

Reducing risk

Multinationals are increasingly managing pension risks on a global basis, and making changes to benefits is one of the levers that can be used to reduce risk. Implementing global benefit policies gives corporate headquarters more control over benefit design, which in turn helps it to reduce pension risks and pension costs.
 
The most important reasons cited by survey participants for making changes to benefit design are to: 

 

  • Reduce volatility in accounting figures   
  • Reduce volatility in cashflows 
  • Reduce costs 

  
As retirement plan issues have moved up the corporate agenda, more than 50 percent of respondents see retirement plans as presenting a financial risk to their company “to a moderate extent” and a further 20 percent “to a great extent.” As a result, almost all respondents have taken some form of action to address this risk, at least in relation to their main plans, but more often on a global basis.
 
More than half of respondents (56 percent) have reduced their equity allocations and increased their allocations to fixed income (64 percent). More than one-third have increased their allocation to alternatives or reduced their interest rate exposure – by either increasing fixed income assets or hedging with derivatives. 
 
The fact that nearly 50 percent of companies indicated that they would run their plans on a fully de-risked basis if funded status permitted shows how attitudes toward pension risk have changed in recent years. This is unlikely to happen without significant resources being applied by multinationals toward establishing long-term aims and developing action plans to achieve these goals.

Increasing control

Governance remains a high priority for multinationals. The main driver behind the focus on retirement plan governance is the desire to have a framework in place that mitigates financial risk and volatility.
 

Multinationals typically implement a strong governance framework by:
  • Implementing global policies 
  • Using preferred providers 
  • Monitoring the funding position of the plans and asset performance 
 
There has been a significant increase in the proportion of companies with global policies in place across all areas of retirement plan management. We anticipate that this trend is likely to continue, with 57 percent of participants believing that corporate headquarters involvement is likely to increase.
 
Typically, this is driven by the fact that senior management has identified retirement plans as a key corporate issue, a view shared by 62 percent of companies. In the majority of these cases, an individual or a team has been assigned global responsibility for retirement plans (from a corporate perspective).
 
Only a small minority of companies (10 percent) feel that retirement plans are not on the agenda of senior management. However, a relatively large proportion (33 percent) of respondents feels that even though retirement plans are on the agenda of senior management, they do not get enough visibility.
 

Most organizations surveyed have already shifted to or are moving decisively toward a more global perspective in managing their retirement plans. Of our respondents, 59 percent expected this trend to continue, with greater involvement from corporate headquarters.
 
Monitoring is one of the main pillars of a strong governance framework. The majority of companies now monitor their funding position at least annually and their asset performance quarterly or monthly. An increase in the use of global custodians makes this regular information flow more feasible than in the past. 

More details on specific actions

Tracking corporate news around the world leads to a convincing conclusion that most employers are now pursuing the above principles and putting them into action, and sometimes adding a short-term overlay of cash reductions, if they can. Here are a few of the actions being taken:
 

  • Reduce benefits for new hires – The trend of closing risky and generous DB plans and replacing them with lower-cost DC plans was already well under way in 2008. This trend is continuing, at a slower rate, as some employers who had truly wished to keep a DB strategy are finding that they cannot afford to do so. 
  • Cease future accrual – A typical action is to close off the generous DB plan to all future accruals. However, the principle extends to removing more generous classes of membership, if they exist, or to higher-level DC plan matches.
  • Remove nonstatutory enhanced benefits – For example, early retirement on favorable terms has been common in some large employer plans but is fast disappearing. 
  • Cut back the DB promise – For those still committed to DB plans, reducing the future accrual rate, options include breaking the link to final pay, or capping future pay increases to 1 percent per annum. 
  • Cut DC contributions – In some cases, base employer contributions to DC plans are being reduced, sometimes temporarily. In other cases, employer- type matches are being reduced or removed above a certain level. 
  • Ask employees to pay more – The balance of cost can be shifted to employees by having them start paying contributions or by increasing the member rates while reducing the employer rates. 

 

We are convinced that we will see a continuing stream of these types of changes in many countries, and they will set precedents for the future. These precedents could lead to future problems, but they could also yield good opportunities.

“A crisis is a terrible thing to waste …”

We suggest that the crisis and the focus it brings to retirement plans present a unique opportunity for multinationals to step back and look at necessary changes in a strategic way, in the context of the role retirement programs play in their businesses, and then to implement actions accordingly. The following 10 questions could be used to frame this context for a review:
 

.

Analysis/Diagnostic

 

Discovery

Financial  

Strategic planning  

Risk management

1. What value is provided to the corporation by the retirement plans currently in place, and can it be quantified?
- Attraction, retention and relief of competitive pressures
- Tax-effective means to compensate employees
- Workforce management
  
2. What is the scope for changing the existing retirement plan design and the associated funding and investment policies, and is there a perceived need for any change?
- Influence of local regulators
- Role of fiduciaries
- Labor relations issues 
3. What impact do the current retirement plans (and associated funding and investment policies) have on key financial performance metrics? 
- P&L
- Cash flow
- Balance sheet
- Cost of capital
- Credit rating
 
4. What are the financial risks embedded in the retirement plans, and have these risks been quantified?
- Interest rate
- Inflation
- Credit
- Capital market
- Longevity
- Other demographics 
 5. What is the likely range of the impact of retirement plans on key financial metrics, based on the scenarios contemplated in the company’s business- planning process over a three- to five-year horizon?
 
6. How will the growth of the retirement plans compare to the likely growth of the business over the longer term?
 
7. Will the retirement plans help or hinder corporate strategy?
- Corporate activity such as acquisitions or divestitures
- Diversification of certain core business risks through the pension plan, for example interest rate or inflation risk
- Workforce management
- Attraction/retention 

8. What governance framework is currently in place to ensure adequate oversight of the retirement plans?
- Committees
- Guiding principles and policies
- Supervision and monitoring
- Information flow
- Accountability 

 

9. What risk management strategies, if any, are currently deployed by the company within the retirement plans?
 
10. What is the rationale for retaining any retirement-related risks?
- Accounting impact
- Cost/lack of availability of suitable hedges
- Diversification elsewhere in the corporation

     

 


About the author

 

David Newman

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David Newman is a principal and actuary in Mercer’s international consulting business in New York. He has extensive experience working with multinationals in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, multinational pooling, and retirement.


About the author

 

Owen O'Sullivan

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Owen O'Sullivan is a senior associate and actuary in Mercer’s financial strategy group based in London. He has experience advising local and multinational companies on investment strategy issues and on reducing pension risks.