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The current economic downturn, unprecedented in its
scale and scope, has raised the stakes for multinational sponsors of retirement
plans. Business analysts, among others, are spending more time describing
pension issues and their impact on companies’ prospects for the future,
particularly in manufacturing and other sectors with large defined benefit
(DB) liabilities. Whether a multinational is focused on short-term
survival or on longer-term repositioning for recovery, we expect that all
companies will be taking a cold hard look at retirement and other benefit
programs going forward.
The challenges for employers
Typical multinational sponsors may currently be faced
with some or all of the following challenges in different countries:
| The economic downturn has emphasized that retirement plans –
particularly underfunded DB plans – are an extension of the sponsoring
company from an economic perspective. Recent accounting changes whereby
the plan’s net deficit is reflected on the balance sheet have helped in
part to highlight this to shareholders. |
| Year-end 2008 balance sheet results for retirement plans have been
buoyed to an extent by higher credit spreads in certain countries
(reducing pension plan liabilities). The impact of a return to “normalcy”
in the credit markets remains uncertain. |
| The company has a relentless focus on cost reduction in line with the
deteriorating or uncertain business outlook. The benefits manager may need
to reconcile this message with the fact that cash flow and expense
relating to DB plans are likely to escalate dramatically and that few
levers may be available to impose cost discipline in this
area. |
| Shifting funding requirements and other legislative changes in certain
countries challenge benefits managers to ensure that the appropriate
information is available to all stakeholders on a timely basis and to make
certain that decision makers are fully aware of the procedures that need
to be followed in different countries to make changes. |
| A benefit program should enable the company to continue to attract,
retain and motivate today’s and tomorrow’s workforce, as necessary. The
company may seek to ensure that its employees continue to see value in the
benefits, for example, by introducing choice to the
programs. |
| The downturn in the markets may inhibit the company’s ability to
manage its workforce, as a generation of employees who participate in
defined contribution (DC) plans may not be able to afford to
retire. |
Against the backdrop of these challenges, let’s
look at what companies are doing or planning to do.
Survey indicators
Our global “Leading through
Unprecedented Times” and “Multinational Retirement Plan”
surveys at the end of 2008 give us a picture of the steps
companies are considering to manage retirement plans. The first of these surveys was
a quick snapshot of views of more than 1,000 HR executives. Exhibit 1 illustrates
that the crisis had not, at that time, translated into much direct action.

The right time to measure actual decisions that have
been made will be late in 2009, even if implementation of those decisions is not
complete. This article reviews where we were headed toward the end of 2008, and
provides examples of specific individual corporate decisions and actions that
are currently being taken. As evidenced by Exhibit 1 above, employers surveyed
last year were looking to deepen their understanding of the risks related to
their DB plans, perhaps as a prelude toward taking specific actions in 2009. We
now turn to the more general Multinational Retirement Plan Survey.
Reducing the cost of benefits
The global trend toward DC plans is well-documented. It
did not come as a surprise that multinational headquarters are taking a stronger
view on the types of retirement benefit plans new hires receive, compared with
our previous survey of plans offered in 2004. Across all regions, the percentage
of respondents whose companies have a stated global policy of using only DC
plans for new hires has almost doubled. However, one-third
of multinational respondents still leave plan design decisions to their
local entities or have no stated preference as to the types of plans. (See Exhibit
2.)

Adopting a global DC plan policy seems to be most
prevalent in Europe, where more than 80 percent of respondents have a global
policy to provide benefits for new hires using DC plans. By contrast, only 42
percent of respondents with headquarters in North America have such a
policy. The introduction of DC plans is also closely linked to a
reduction in the level of benefits provided by DB plans. More than half of
respondents have closed DB plans to new members or to future accruals for
existing members in conjunction with introducing or enhancing a DC plan.
Reducing risk
Multinationals are increasingly managing pension risks
on a global basis, and making changes to benefits is one of the levers that can
be used to reduce risk. Implementing global benefit policies gives corporate
headquarters more control over benefit design, which in turn helps it to reduce
pension risks and pension costs. The most important reasons cited by survey participants for
making changes to benefit design are to:
- Reduce volatility in accounting
figures
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- Reduce volatility in cashflows
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As retirement plan issues have moved up the corporate
agenda, more than 50 percent of respondents see retirement plans as presenting a
financial risk to their company “to a moderate extent” and a further 20 percent
“to a great extent.” As a result, almost all respondents have taken some form of
action to address this risk, at least in relation to their main plans, but more
often on a global basis. More than half of respondents (56
percent) have reduced their equity allocations and increased their allocations
to fixed income (64 percent). More than one-third have increased their
allocation to alternatives or reduced their interest rate exposure – by either
increasing fixed income assets or hedging with derivatives.
The
fact that nearly 50 percent of companies indicated that they would run their
plans on a fully de-risked basis if funded status permitted shows how attitudes
toward pension risk have changed in recent years. This is unlikely to happen
without significant resources being applied by multinationals toward
establishing long-term aims and developing action plans to achieve these
goals.
Increasing control
Governance remains a high priority for multinationals.
The main driver behind the focus on retirement plan governance is the desire to
have a framework in place that mitigates financial risk
and volatility.
| Multinationals typically implement a strong governance framework
by: |
- Implementing global policies
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- Using preferred providers
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- Monitoring the funding position of the plans and asset
performance
| There has been a significant increase in the
proportion of companies with global policies in place across all areas of
retirement plan management. We anticipate that this trend is likely to continue,
with 57 percent of participants believing that corporate headquarters
involvement is likely to increase. Typically, this is driven by
the fact that senior management has identified retirement plans as a key
corporate issue, a view shared by 62 percent of companies. In the majority of
these cases, an individual or a team has been assigned global responsibility for
retirement plans (from a corporate perspective). Only a small
minority of companies (10 percent) feel that retirement plans are not on the
agenda of senior management. However, a relatively large proportion (33 percent)
of respondents feels that even though retirement plans are on the agenda of
senior management, they do not get enough visibility.
Most organizations surveyed have already shifted to or
are moving decisively toward a more global perspective in managing their
retirement plans. Of our respondents, 59 percent expected this trend to
continue, with greater involvement from corporate headquarters.
Monitoring is one of the
main pillars of a strong governance framework. The majority of companies now monitor their
funding position at least annually and their asset performance quarterly or monthly. An increase
in the use of global custodians makes this regular information flow more feasible
than in the past.
More
details on specific actions
Tracking corporate
news around the world leads to a convincing conclusion that most employers are
now pursuing the above principles and putting them into action, and sometimes
adding a short-term overlay of cash reductions, if they can. Here are a few of
the actions being taken:
- Reduce benefits for new hires – The trend of
closing risky and generous DB plans and replacing them with lower-cost
DC plans was already well under way in 2008. This trend is continuing,
at a slower rate, as some employers who had truly wished to keep a DB
strategy are finding that they cannot afford to do
so.
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- Cease future accrual – A typical action is to close
off the generous DB plan to all future accruals. However, the principle
extends to removing more generous classes of membership, if they exist,
or to higher-level DC plan matches.
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- Remove nonstatutory enhanced benefits –
For example, early retirement on favorable terms has been common in
some large employer plans but is fast disappearing.
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- Cut back the DB promise – For those still committed
to DB plans, reducing the future accrual rate, options include breaking the
link to final pay, or capping future pay increases to 1 percent per
annum.
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- Cut DC contributions – In some cases, base employer
contributions to DC plans are being reduced, sometimes temporarily. In
other cases, employer- type matches are being reduced or removed above a
certain level.
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- Ask employees to pay more – The balance of cost can
be shifted to employees by having them start paying contributions or by
increasing the member rates while reducing the employer
rates.
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We are convinced that we will see a continuing
stream of these types of changes in many countries, and they will set precedents
for the future. These precedents could lead to future problems, but they could
also yield good opportunities.
“A crisis is a terrible thing to waste …”
We suggest that the crisis and the focus it brings to
retirement plans present a unique opportunity for multinationals to step back
and look at necessary changes in a strategic way, in the context of the role
retirement programs play in their businesses, and then to implement actions
accordingly. The following 10 questions could be used to frame this context for
a review:
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Analysis/Diagnostic |
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Discovery |
Financial |
Strategic
planning |
Risk management |
1. What value is
provided to the corporation by the retirement plans currently in place, and can
it be quantified? - Attraction, retention and relief of competitive
pressures - Tax-effective means to compensate employees
- Workforce management 2. What is the scope for
changing the existing retirement plan design and the associated funding and
investment policies, and is there a perceived need for any
change? - Influence of local regulators - Role of
fiduciaries - Labor relations issues |
3. What impact do the
current retirement plans (and associated funding and investment policies) have
on key financial performance metrics? - P&L - Cash
flow - Balance sheet - Cost of capital - Credit
rating 4. What are the financial risks embedded in the retirement
plans, and have these risks been quantified? - Interest
rate - Inflation - Credit - Capital
market - Longevity - Other demographics |
5. What is the
likely range of the impact of retirement plans on key financial metrics, based
on the scenarios contemplated in the company’s business- planning process over a
three- to five-year horizon? 6. How will the growth of the
retirement plans compare to the likely growth of the business over the longer
term? 7. Will the retirement plans help or hinder corporate
strategy? - Corporate activity such as acquisitions or
divestitures - Diversification of certain core business risks through
the pension plan, for example interest rate or inflation
risk - Workforce management - Attraction/retention |
8. What governance framework is currently in place to ensure
adequate oversight of the retirement plans? - Committees
- Guiding principles and policies - Supervision and
monitoring - Information flow - Accountability
9.
What risk management strategies, if any, are currently deployed by the company
within the retirement plans? 10. What is the rationale for
retaining any retirement-related risks? - Accounting
impact - Cost/lack of availability of suitable
hedges - Diversification elsewhere
in the corporation |
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